Nen Prozente-Markt wäre möglich; aufgrund der Stichwahl-Regelung ist natürlich auch ein anderer Modus zu überlegen. Mal aus der Hüfte geschossen: Marktwert 150, Sieger-Aktie mit Hundert ausgezahlt, Zweiter noch mit 50. Oder so.
Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.
Our focus
Germany / Austria / Switzerland All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections
Europe Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.
USA All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.
UK All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.
Worldwide National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.
Important elections in 2023
Several state elections in Germany and Austria
Presidential election in the Czech Republic
National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain