Kleines Detail am Rande: In einem Wahlkreis wird heute nicht gewählt, da ein Kandidat kürzlich gestorben ist. Die Auszahlung des Marktes könnte sich hinziehen - außer, es ist ein sicherer Sitz und wir entscheiden, ihn dementsprechend auszuzahlen.
In the three districts that have reported so far, all in Metro Sunderland, Labour is -10.5% from last time, Conservatives +6.0%, LibDems +0.2%, "Others" +4.3%.
Meine Herren - legen die Anderen landesweit so zu? Wär ein Desaster für mich im Kleinparteien-Markt; dachte wirklich, die Kleinen würden zerquetscht.
Bald müssten wir die ersten Nordirland-Ergebnisse reinkriegen...
Foreign Secretary David Miliband has just arrived at the count in his South Shields constituency. A round of media interviews and a strong message to all: "If no party ends up with a majority, then no party has a right to a monopoly of power." There's then "an injunction from voters on parties to talk to each other", he adds.
> Sie sind gut und behandeln ihre Zuschauer als Erwachsene.
Ich habe vor langer Zeit sogar mal für die gearbeitet - eine Reportage über die IRA, die sich sonst niemand hätte getraut zu bringen ... und über Frauen im Islam .. detto -- haben sich nie viel dreinreden lassen oder waren so obrigkeitsgesteuert wie der ORF
Wahlkreise, die recht bald ein Ergebnis melden werden:
# Birmingham Edgbaston could be the first “must win” Tory target to declare a result, where former minister Gisela Stuart will lose the seat on a swing of just 2% to Conservative challenger, Deirdre Alden.
# Basildon South and Thurrock East will be regained on a swing of barely 1% - but the scale of the likely victory there will be studied to ascertain how the party will fare in the string of crucial marginals elsewhere in Essex and north Kent.
# Look out for early results from Wandsworth. Putney will see Justine Greening retain her seat and an easy gain is expected in Battersea for Jane Ellison. Most important there is Tooting, where Tory challenger Mark Clarke must oust transport minister Sadiq Khan (on a 6% swing) if David Cameron is to secure a working Commons majority.
# There are lots of marginals in West Yorkshire, of which the first to declare are expected to be (Labour-held) Leeds North East and (Lib Dem-held) Leeds North West, where Tory gains or close-run contests will be required if the party can be confident of easier gains elsewhere in the county.
# If the Conservatives struggle against the Lib Dems, we'll need to go further down the list of vulnerable Labour seats, so would need to be attaining the required swing of 7.5% to gain Labour seats like Telford and Vale of Clwyd.
In Nordirland ist die Auszälung in zwei Wahlkreisen wegen Bombendrohungen unterbrochen worden: mal wieder typisch...
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