Nevada Democratic Presidential Caucuses, 2020

  • Nevada Democratic Presidential Caucuses, 2020

    Wahlfieber Team, 24.02.2020 20:12
    #1

    Nevada Democratic Presidential Caucuses, 2020

    The best predictions:

    1. Data for Progress

    2. Klas TV - Emerson

    3. Wahlfieber.com

    **********

    NV 2020 - DEM
    		BidButKloSanSteWar
    		Others
    		SumMAEMAPEMQER
    First Alignment Caucus





























    Predictions 2020




























    Prediction markets *













    Wahlfieber - final15,5017,1010,3028,4011,1013,10
    		4,50
    		45,922,1936,347,39
    Wahlfieber - 7 days16,0016,0012,0028,0011,0013,00
    		4,00
    		42,712,1632,847,71
    weitere Wahlbörsen











































    Polls













    Data for Progress16,0015,008,0035,008,0016,00
    		2,00p17,211,3213,362,53
    Klas TV - Emerson16,0017,0011,0030,0010,0012,00
    		4,00e
    		36,711,8230,564,33
    Las Vegas Review18,0010,0010,0025,0011,0013,00
    		4,00a54,442,8134,5817,05
    CNN - SSRS22,004,001,0022,004,0018,00
    		1,00n117,766,7551,0759,94
    Fox News23,006,002,0017,0012,0012,00
    		4,00c133,696,5158,7768,41


























































































    Other predictions














    538




























    Durchschnittswerte ***













    Prediction markets **15,5017,1010,3028,4011,1013,10
    		4,50
    		45,922,1936,347,39
    Polls **19,0010,406,4025,809,0014,20
    		3,00
    		46,692,9528,3215,43















    Results 202017,5715,359,6333,999,0612,81
    		1,59





    First AlignmentBidButKloSanSteWar
    		Others
    		SumMAEMAPEMQER

    Legende:

    Namenskürzel:

    • Bid - Joe Biden
    • Blo - Mike Bloomberg
    • But - Pete Buttigieg
    • Klo - Amy Klobuchar
    • San - Bernie Sanders
    • Ste - Tom Steyer
    • War - Elizabeth Warren

      Links:

      Anmerkungen:

      Die häufig vom realen Ergebnis erheblich abweichende CNN-Umfrage wird hier angeführt, da sie auf den Wahlseiten von CNN (s.a. obiger Link) stets als erste, quasi Referenzumfrage aufgelistet wird.

        Link prediction
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