Ab sofort werden wir regelmäßig - jeweils zu Beginn eines Monats - Umfragen auf X zu den US-Wahlen durchführen
(im Juni wegen der EU-Wahl etwas später)
Die 1. Umfragerunde umfasste nur drei Fragen (jeweils WTA)
..........
1. Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl
Donald Trump - 55,6 %
Joe Biden - 44,4%
.........
2. Mehrheit im Senate
DEM - 63,2 %
REP . 31,6 %
..........
3. Mehrheit im House
REP - 53,8 %
DEM - 38,5 %
..........
Differenz zu 100: "Unsicher / weiß nicht"
Zeitrahmen: 02.-04. Mai 2024
Teiln.: 62
Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.
Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections
Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.
USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.
UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.
Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.
This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter
Please send error messages and feedback by email to: help@wahlfieber.com