CH - What will be the party strength (in percent) of the five biggest parties and all other smaller parties together in the Swiss House of Representatives election 2011?
House of Representatives election 2011 – big parties
This market is inactive. No predictions can currently be made.
Parliamentary elections 2011 - big parties
Payout rules
Every share held by a trader in his/her portfolio at the end of the exchange will be paid out according to the actual result of this share after the election.
Explications to the market question
For trading on the SRG election stock market the value «party strength» has been defined as the expected value for the party stocks. The Federal Office of Statistics defines party strength as the «contingent of votes a party gained, in relation to the sum of all valid votes».
The party strength all over Switzerland in percent defined the issuing price of the six party stocks at the launch of the SRG election stock market.
The six party stocks base on the big parties Swiss People's Party (SPP), Social Democratic Party (SDP), Radical Party (FDP.The Liberals) (FDP), Christian Democratic Party (CDP) plus the Green Party of Switzerland (Greens).
The remaining parties with party strengths smaller than 3 percent are summarized as a single party stock «Others». On the one hand it supports the visibility and the overview of the market and the according charts. On the other hand the market focuses on the strongest parties and arbitrage trades with smallest party stocks can be avoided to achieve a more precise quality of the SRG election stock market.
Definition of the stock «Others»
The stock «Others» includes all parties in the market «House of Representatives – Party strength» that are not listed with an own, named stock. These include the parties represented in the House of Representatives:
- Conservative Democratic Party (CDP)
- Liberal Green Party (LGP)
- Protestant Party (EPP)
- Federal Democratic Union (FDU)
- Alternative Left (SLP, Sol, AL)
- Ticino League (Lega dei Ticinesi)
- Christian Social Party (CSP)
as well al all further small parites and indipendents, running for the federal elections 2011.
Links
- BFS - Party strength parliamentary elections 2007 [politik-stat.ch]
- «Election Barometer» (Election option poll reports) by the research and polling institute gfs.bern on behalf of SRG [gfsbern.ch]