in USA:

How many votes (in %) will the candidates win in the US presidential election 2016 in the following swing states?

Participants: 17
Market opening: 07.10.2016 20:00
Market close: 08.11.2016 23:59
Top trader: zk25_1

US presidential election, 2016 (swing states)

This market is inactive. No predictions can currently be made.

Shares - list (bought back)

Share Name Prediction
ø 1 day
Prediction
ø 3 days
Prediction
ø 7 days
Closing price Result
Total 1,000.00 % 1,000.00 % 1,000.00 % 1,000.00 % 1,000.00 %
Cinton (AZ) Hillary Clinton 45.70 % 45.94 % 46.06 % 45.29 % 45.10 %
Trump (AZ) Donald Trump 46.00 % 45.59 % 45.67 % 45.79 % 48.70 %
Andere (AZ) Andere Parteien 8.53 % 8.55 % 8.58 % 9.56 % 6.20 %
Cinton (CO) Hillary Clinton 47.01 % 47.07 % 47.20 % 46.78 % 48.20 %
Trump (CO) Donald Trump 42.58 % 42.22 % 41.70 % 40.96 % 43.30 %
Andere (CO) Andere Parteien 11.50 % 11.08 % 11.11 % 11.94 % 8.50 %
Cinton (FL) Hillary Clinton 47.01 % 47.05 % 47.28 % 46.78 % 47.80 %
Trump (FL) Donald Trump 45.95 % 45.86 % 45.99 % 45.74 % 49.00 %
Andere (FL) Andere Parteien 5.45 % 5.47 % 5.49 % 5.57 % 3.20 %
Cinton (IA) Hillary Clinton 45.00 % 45.60 % 45.72 % 44.79 % 41.70 %
Trump (IA) Donald Trump 46.00 % 45.99 % 46.12 % 45.79 % 51.10 %
Andere (IA) Andere Parteien 11.02 % 11.03 % 11.06 % 10.95 % 7.20 %
Cinton (NV) Hillary Clinton 47.61 % 47.79 % 47.90 % 47.38 % 47.90 %
Trump (NV) Donald Trump 45.00 % 45.05 % 45.17 % 44.79 % 45.50 %
Andere (NV) Andere Parteien 7.58 % 7.12 % 8.09 % 7.47 % 6.60 %
Cinton (NM) Hillary Clinton 44.00 % 45.61 % 45.74 % 43.80 % 48.30 %
Trump (NM) Donald Trump 40.57 % 37.96 % 36.25 % 41.51 % 40.00 %
Johnson (NM) Gary Johnson 12.21 % 12.28 % 13.78 % 12.44 % 9.30 %
Andere (NM) Andere Parteien 3.30 % 3.51 % 3.52 % 3.28 % 2.40 %
Cinton (NC) Hillary Clinton 48.41 % 48.45 % 47.66 % 48.18 % 46.20 %
Trump (NC) Donald Trump 46.00 % 45.32 % 45.44 % 45.79 % 49.80 %
Andere (NC) Andere Parteien 6.30 % 5.98 % 6.03 % 6.27 % 4.00 %
Cinton (OH) Hillary Clinton 45.00 % 45.31 % 45.43 % 44.79 % 43.60 %
Trump (OH) Donald Trump 46.45 % 46.35 % 46.48 % 46.28 % 51.70 %
Andere (OH) Andere Parteien 6.51 % 6.51 % 6.53 % 7.96 % 4.70 %
Cinton (PA) Hillary Clinton 48.27 % 49.69 % 49.82 % 48.04 % 47.90 %
Trump (PA) Donald Trump 43.49 % 43.53 % 43.65 % 43.30 % 48.60 %
Andere (PA) Andere Parteien 6.90 % 6.43 % 6.45 % 6.87 % 3.50 %
Cinton (VA) Hillary Clinton 47.51 % 47.55 % 47.68 % 47.28 % 49.80 %
Trump (VA) Donald Trump 43.73 % 43.77 % 42.08 % 44.79 % 44.40 %
Andere (VA) Andere Parteien 9.41 % 10.30 % 10.33 % 9.85 % 5.80 %
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What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

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