Mercouri on political stock market

Registered since:
24.08.2007

Current posts from Mercouri

Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
Steiermark local elections, 2025 10 24
Vorarlberg local elections, 2025 5 22
Vienna local elections, 2025 10 30
Hamburg state election, 2025 14 40
German general election in Bavaria, 2025 8 29
German general election, 2025 (direct seats) 12 27
Hamburg state election, 2025 7 21
German general election, 2025 18 30
German general election, 2025 34 104
Liechtenstein general election, 2025 29 31
24 24
US-Presidential election, 2024 (538-market) 12 41
US-Senate elections, 2024 10 31
Steiermark state election, 2024 21 22
Sachsen state election, 2024 17 39
Brandenburg state election, 2024 9 21
Thueringen state election, 2024 10 23
French legislative election, 2024 6 25
Dutch European Parliament election, 2024 16 17
Italian European Parliament election, 2024 7 18
German European Parliament election, 2024 30 48
Austrian European Parliament election, 2024 5 20
Innsbruck local election, 2024 6 31
Salzburg mayoral election, 2024 20 35
Salzburg local election, 2024 7 37
Bavarian state election, 2023 23 57
Swiss House of Representatives election 2023 13 36
Bremen state election, 2023 13 25
Darmstadt mayoral election, 2023 5 22
Frankfurt mayoral election, 2023 6 27
Italian general election, 2022 12 26
Niedersachsen state election, 2022 31 49
Swedish general election, 2022 6 17
Krems local election, 2022 3 18
Tirol state election, 2022 8 24
French legislative election, 2022 10 33
Nordrhein-Westfalen state election, 2022 11 50
Schleswig-Holstein state election, 2022 20 24
Magdeburg mayoral election, 2022 8 24
Saarland state election, 2022 30 46
Lienz local election, 2022 11 21
Hall in Tirol local election, 2022 13 38
German general election, 2021 in Bavaria 12 41
German general election, 2021 26 81
Berlin state election, 2021 5 27
Lower Saxony local elections, 2021 9 31
Oberösterreich state election, 2021 36 54
Sachsen-Anhalt state election, 2021 35 47
Klagenfurt mayoral election, 2021 6 25
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 (small parties) 22 47
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 18 34
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 35 55
4 18
Hessen local elections, 2021 20 43
14 49
Mönchengladbach mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 15 15
Bonn mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 5 22
Aachen mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 14 21
Düsseldorf mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 8 24
13 36
6 15
6 24
North Rhine Westfalia local elections 2020 16 26
Landratswahl Kanton Uri 2020 5 21
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Regensburg 2020 15 16
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Nürnberg 2020 5 20
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Leipzig 2020 21 36
Kantonsratswahl St. Gallen 2020 7 27
Hamburg regional election, 2020 21 57
Hamburg regional election, 2020 20 36
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Hannover 2019 20 25
Landtagswahl Steiermark 2019 23 42
SPD-Parteivorsitz 2019 16 34
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Halle (Saale) 2019 13 34
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2019 7 28
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2019 68 101
Landtagswahl Thüringen 2019 26 72
Landtagswahl Brandenburg 2019 - kleine Parteien 37 48
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 - Direktmandate 32 47
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 53 69
Conservative Party leadership election, 2019 8 34
Parlamentswahl Griechenland 2019 9 31
Bürgermeisterwahl Istanbul 2019 14 34
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 (Kleinstparteien) 24 44
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Wiesbaden 2019 2 37
Europawahl Frankreich 2019 8 36
Parlamentswahl der Deutschsprachigen Gemeinschaft in Belgien 2019 8 28
Europawahl Österreich 2019 41 67
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 27 83
Gemeindevertretungswahl Stadt Salzburg 2019 8 26
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2019 17 63
Bundeskanzlermarkt 2019 41 61
Landtagswahl Hessen 2018 47 66
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 26 71
Parlamentswahl Schweden 2018 13 37
Kommunalwahl Schleswig-Holstein 2018 30 41
Landtagswahl Niedersachsen 2017 (geschlossener Markt) 16 34
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 36 82
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 (kleine Parteien) 33 86
Grosssratswahlen 2017 - Kanton Waadt 9 15
Landtagswahl Nordrhein-Westfalen 2017 (kleine Parteien) 8 34
Landtagswahl Schleswig-Holstein 2017 20 54
Kantonsratswahlen 2016 - Kanton Schaffhausen 16 18
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2016 (Ost-Berlin) 15 34
US presidential election, 2016 (538) 20 49
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2016 37 68
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2016 (geschlossener Markt) 19 33
Bundespräsidentenwahl Österreich 2016 62 154
Bundesratserneuerungswahl 2015 (Ersatzwahl Widmer-Schlumpf) 17 25
Candidates SPP for the Cabinet 2015 12 34
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Glarus 12 31
Senate elections - Canton Basel-Stadt 2015 25 30
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Schaffhausen 10 32
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Luzern 36 44
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Schwyz 23 36
Senate elections - Canton Neuchâtel 2015 17 25
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Köln 2015 17 39
Senate elections - Canton Ticino 2015 16 32
Senate elections - Canton Nidwalden 2015 22 28
Senate elections - Canton Vaud 2015 21 53
Senate elections - Canton Basel-Landschaft 2015 12 36
Senate elections - Canton Schaffhausen 2015 20 30
Senate elections - Canton Genève 2015 17 47
Senate elections - Canton Fribourg 2015 19 33
Gemeinderatswahl Vienna 2015 55 122
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Aargau 30 59
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Basel-Landschaft 32 44
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Freiburg 9 43
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Valais 10 39
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Neuchâtel 10 35
Swiss House of Representatives election 2015 – smallest parties 18 71
Swiss House of Representatives election 2015 – big parties 93 363
Landtagswahl Burgenland 2015 12 42
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremerhaven 2015 32 53
British General Elections, 2015 16 45
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2015 22 70
Stadtratswahl Köln 2014 18 46
Kommunalwahl Karlsruhe 2014 (kleine Parteien) 19 62
Bürgermeisterwahl Stadt Salzburg 2014 13 34
Grossratswahl Kanton Bern 2014 17 53
Schleswig-Holstein local elections, 2013 34 110
Plön local election, 2013 21 85
Kiel local election, 2013 23 140
Italian legislative election 2013 (coalition market) 18 22
Landtagswahl Niedersachsen 2013 - Einzug FDP / Linke / Piraten 13 55
Wiesbaden mayoral election 2013 2 37
South Tyrolia parliamentary election 2013 8 46
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 (2. Wahlgang) 28 48
Niederösterreich federal election, 2013 37 88
Niedersachsen federal election, 2013 41 127
Grüne Urabstimmung zur Spitzenkandidatur 2013 31 59
US Senate election in Maine, 2012 8 30
US Presidential election, 2012 - 538 market 16 47
Kaernten federal election, 2013 40 105
Gemeinderatswahl Burgenland 2012 19 42
Ukrainian parliamentary election 2012 13 31
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 42 439
Grossratswahlen 2012 - Kanton Basel-Stadt 12 35
1. Bundesliga Österreich 2012/2013 13 38
US Senate election, 2012 13 35
US presidential election, 2012 35 80
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 (small parties) 25 200
Senate elections - Canton Schwyz 9 63
Senate elections - Canton Aargau 82 222
Senate elections - Canton Glarus 20 91
Senate elections - Canton Schaffhausen 58 120
Senate elections in Canton St. Gallen 69 345
Senate elections - Canton Thurgau 111 131
Senate elections - Canton Vaud 28 86
Swiss Senate elections - allocation of seats 12 457
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Graubünden 64 211
Swiss Cabinet election 2011 182 426
Parliamentary election Spain 2011 15 37
Parliamentary election Denmark 2011 9 35
House of Representatives election 2011 – smallest parties 38 293
Federal election Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2011 - small parties 25 47
Federal election Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2011 53 80
Kantonale Wahlen Luzern 2011 40 48
Wien 149 193
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck 19 75
Schleswig-Holstein 91 275

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Wiesbaden 2019 2 37
Wiesbaden mayoral election 2013 2 37
Krems local election, 2022 3 18
Chemnitz mayoral election, 2020 4 34
Grossratswahl Thurgau 2020 4 27
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Solothurn 4 31
Darmstadt mayoral election, 2023 5 22
Berlin state election, 2021 5 27
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Nürnberg 2020 5 20
Vorarlberg local elections, 2025 5 22
European Parliament election in France. 2024 4 18
Innsbruck local election, 2024 6 31
Swedish general election, 2022 6 17
Danmark 6 53
Austrian European Parliament election, 2024 5 20
7 18
6 15
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Augsburg 2020 5 20
Europawahl Österreich 2019 (kleine Parteien) 7 54
Europawahl Lettland 2014 7 19
Thurgau state election, 2024 4 24
Sachsen-Anhalt state election, 2021 8 32
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Mainz 2019 8 29
Gemeindevertretungswahl Stadt Salzburg 2019 8 26
Gemeindevertretungswahl Stadt Salzburg 2014 8 38
US gubernatorial elections, 2012 5 29
Parlamentswahl Griechenland 2019 9 31
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Freiburg 9 43
Parliamentary election Poland 2011 9 27
Spanish European Parliament election, 2024 6 17
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2019 7 28
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Neuchâtel 10 35
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Schaffhausen 10 32
Italian legislative election, 2013 (small parties) 10 25
Federal Convention Germany 10 101
Lienz local election, 2022 11 21
4 18
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Freiburg 2018 11 29
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Jura 11 36
Kaernten federal election, 2013 - BZÖ 11 22
Brandenburg state election, 2024 9 21
Wörgl local election, 2022 12 21
Cologne mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 7 19
Cologne local elections, 2020 12 20
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 (kleine Parteien) 12 53
Candidates SPP for the Cabinet 2015 12 34
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Glarus 12 31
Swiss Senate elections - allocation of seats 12 457
Bayern 12 93
US-Senate elections, 2024 10 31
Bremen state election, 2023 13 25
Tübingen mayoral election, 2022 6 25
Kufstein local election, 2022 13 25
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 11 24
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Halle (Saale) 2019 13 34
New Zealand general election, 2017 10 33
Bürgermeisterwahl Stadt Salzburg 2014 13 34
US Senate election, 2012 13 35
Thüringen - Kleine Parteien 13 48
Italian European Parliament election, 2024 7 18
Tirol state election, 2022 8 24
German general election, 2021 in Bavaria 12 41
Aachen mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 14 21
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Basel-Stadt 14 47
Ukrainian parliamentary election 2012 13 31
German general election in Bavaria, 2025 8 29
Hall in Tirol mayoral election, 2022 13 25
Düsseldorf mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 8 24
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Regensburg 2020 15 16
Nationalratswahl Schweiz 2019 15 51
Montana's at-large congressional district special election, 2017 8 20
Swiss Cabinet election 2015 15 27
Volksabstimmung zum Nichtraucherschutz 15 32
Austrian general election, 2024 16 25
Niedersachsen state election, 2022 15 25
Klagenfurt local elections, 2021 8 26
North Rhine Westfalia local elections 2020 16 26
Parlamentswahl Spanien 2019 16 21
Kantonsratswahlen 2016 - Kanton Schaffhausen 16 18
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Thurgau 16 36
Kaernten federal election, 2013 (small parties) 16 19
Steiermark local elections, 2025 10 24
12 35
Bürgermeisterwahl Istanbul 2019 14 34
Landtagswahl Niedersachsen 2017 (geschlossener Markt) 16 34
Bundesratserneuerungswahl 2015 (Ersatzwahl Widmer-Schlumpf) 17 25
Senate elections - Canton Neuchâtel 2015 17 25
Grossratswahl Kanton Bern 2014 17 53
Parteivorsitzende der Grünen 15 34
German general election, 2025 18 30
Kantonsratswahl St. Gallen 2020 7 27
Präsident der EU-Kommission, 2019 18 34
Landtagswahl Niedersachsen 2017 18 53
Swiss House of Representatives election 2015 – smallest parties 18 71
Italian legislative election 2013 (coalition market) 18 22
Sachsen state election, 2024 17 39
Landtagswahl Nordrhein-Westfalen 2017 (kleine Parteien) 8 34
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2016 (geschlossener Markt) 19 33
Senate elections - Canton Fribourg 2015 19 33
Gemeinderatswahl Burgenland 2012 19 42
Federal election Berlin 2011 19 96
Israel 19 100
Schleswig-Holstein state election, 2022 20 24
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2019 (Mandate) 20 32
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremerhaven 2019 20 36
Senate elections - Canton Jura 2015 20 25
Kommunalwahl Karlsruhe 2014 20 67
Latvia - Riga 20 42
Eintracht Frankfurt 20 42
Saarland state election, 2022 16 30
Hamburg regional election, 2020 21 57
Europawahl Großbritannien 2019 20 57
Swiss Senate elections 2015 21 95
Plön local election, 2013 21 85
Nederland 21 70
Greece - Vicky Leandros 21 42
United Kingdom general election, 2024 11 26
Landtagswahl Burgenland 2020 22 53
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Potsdam 2018 22 39
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2015 22 70
Australian Open 2008 (Women) 22 47
Austrian European Parliament election, 2024 15 37
Landtagswahl Steiermark 2019 23 42
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Schwyz 23 36
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Bochum 2015 13 31
1. Bundesliga Österreich 2012/2013 13 38
Parliamentary election Latvia 2011 23 36
Greece 23 77
Ukraine 23 59
24 24
Sachsen-Anhalt state election, 2021 (small parties) 24 34
Europawahl Deutschland 2014 (Kleinstparteien) 24 49
Spain 24 69
Thueringen state election, 2024 22 39
Senate elections - Canton Basel-Stadt 2015 25 30
Kantonsratswahlen 2012 - Kanton Schaffhausen 25 31
Federal election Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2011 - small parties 25 47
Bern 25 47
Bavarian state election, 2023 23 57
German general election, 2021 26 81
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 26 71
US Presidential election, 2012 - 538 market 16 47
Liechtenstein 26 48
Hamburg state election, 2025 14 40
Senate elections - Canton Obwalden 2015 27 39
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Graubunden 27 34
24 - 7th Season I 27 85
Israeli legislative election, Sep 2019 28 34
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 (2. Wahlgang) 28 48
CH - Volksabstimmung am 08.02.2009 28 78
Salzburg state election, 2023 22 48
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 (small parties) 21 45
Schl.-Holst. - Kleine Parteien 29 86
Italy 29 74
Saarland state election, 2022 30 46
Hessen local elections, 2021 20 43
Europawahl 2019 - Mandate der EU-Befürworter 20 50
Kommunalwahl Schleswig-Holstein 2018 30 41
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Aargau 30 59
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Vaud 30 99
Graz local election, 2013 31 144
Australia 31 45
Schleswig-Holstein state election, 2022 32 47
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 - Direktmandate 32 47
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremerhaven 2015 32 53
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 (kleine Parteien) 33 86
Hungary 33 79
US Presidential election, 2024 (WTA market) 34 76
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 21 50
Schleswig-Holstein local elections, 2013 34 110
Ireland 34 66
South Tyrol 34 43
Niedersachsen state election, 2022 31 49
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 35 55
US presidential election, 2012 35 80
Oberösterreich state election, 2021 36 54
Senate elections - Canton Bern 36 252
South Tyrol 36 85
Landtagswahl Brandenburg 2019 - kleine Parteien 37 48
Niederösterreich federal election, 2013 37 88
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 36 82
Drittstärkste Kraft 38 129
Steiermark state election, 2024 39 47
Kaernten federal election, 2013 40 105
Kantonale Wahlen Luzern 2011 40 48
Bundeskanzlermarkt 2019 41 61
Niedersachsen federal election, 2013 41 127
Germany 42 180
Bayern - Ministerpräsident 42 68
Gruppe A 43 87
Karlsruhe mayoral election 2012 44 179
Iceland 44 92
Bayern-Koalitionen 44 73
Candidates SPP for the Cabinet 2011 45 83
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Geneva 46 88
Wolfgang Clement 46 88
GOP Presidential Nominee 2016 42 100
Republican Candidate 47 166
Landtagswahl Oberösterreich 2015 44 94
Republican Primaries 49 80
Kärnten 50 137
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 (kleine Parteien) 51 69
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 53 69
Poland 53 66
Bavaria 53 169
Senate elections - Canton Solothurn 56 179
Senate elections - Canton Schaffhausen 58 120
Gruppe B 59 92
Senate elections - Canton Uri 60 119
Große Koalition 61 163
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Vaud 63 65
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Graubünden 64 211
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2016 65 65
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2019 68 101
Senate elections in Canton St. Gallen 69 345
North Rhine-Westphalia 70 193
Hamburg 73 179
Bundeskanzler 76 220
Klubanzahl 77 142
BZÖ 79 168
Thuringia 84 146
USA Elections 2008 84 294
Tirol 87 397
Swiss House of Representatives election 2015 – big parties 93 363
ÖVP 95 171
Dinkhauser 103 220
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 110 118
FPÖ 112 171
Federal President Germany 130 251
Hesse 155 245
GRÜNE 161 194
Germany 170 559
Österreich - SPÖ 192 505
Democratic Candidate 196 310
Austria 320 725
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Fine music for political ears

What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

How does this work?

This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

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