Zappa on political stock market

Registered since:
26.08.2008

Current posts from Zappa

Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
Burgenland state election, 2024 34 43
8 13
5 14
German general election, 2025 39 104
US-Presidential election, 2024 (popular vote) 14 35
US-Presidential election, 2024 (538-market) 16 41
US-House elections, 2024 10 30
US-Senate elections, 2024 10 31
Steiermark state election, 2024 18 47
Steiermark state election, 2024 11 22
Aargau state election, 2024 7 19
Vorarlberg state election, 2024 15 31
Brandenburg state election, 2024 31 44
Thueringen state election, 2024 13 39
Italian European Parliament election, 2024 5 18
German European Parliament election, 2024 14 48
Austrian European Parliament election, 2024 5 20
Innsbruck mayoral election, 2024 23 31
15 17
Schwyz state election, 2024 1 16
Thurgau state election, 2024 4 24
German general election 2024 in Berlin (repeat election) 28 35
Salzburg local election, 2024 21 37
Luxembourg general election, 2023 10 24
Bavarian state election, 2023 23 57
Swiss House of Representatives election 2023 19 36
Salzburg state election, 2023 22 48
Senate elections St. Gallen. 2023 8 22
Kassel mayoral election, 2023 7 21
Kaernten state election, 2023 35 45
Schleswig-Holstein state election, 2022 16 47
Hungarian parliamentary election, 2022 6 24
Magdeburg mayoral election, 2022 8 24
Saarland state election, 2022 16 30
Waidhofen/Ybbs local election, 2022 20 31
German general election, 2021 44 81
Berlin state election, 2021 10 27
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 11 24
17 55
Sachsen-Anhalt state election, 2021 17 47
Frankfurt local elections, 2021 7 27
Klagenfurt local elections, 2021 8 26
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 38 53
Israeli legislative election, 2021 8 32
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 14 55
4 18
Hessen local elections, 2021 20 43
Liechtenstein general election, 2021 14 19
Vienna local election, 2020 22 57
Kantonsratswahl Schwyz 2020 4 23
Stadtratswahl Bayreuth 2020 3 14
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Regensburg 2020 2 16
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Nürnberg 2020 8 20
Super Tuesday Democratic Primaries, 2020 17 26
California Democratic Primary, 2020 12 23
South Carolina Democratic Primary, 2020 18 26
Stadtratswahl Regensburg 2020 8 19
Gemeinderatswahl Wien 2020 (intern) 19 34
Kommunalwahl Bayern 2020 16 34
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Leipzig 2020 29 36
Kantonsratswahl St. Gallen 2020 7 27
Hamburg regional election, 2020 22 57
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Halle (Saale) 2019 17 34
Canadian federal election, 2019 10 32
Landtagswahl Vorarlberg 2019 14 47
Landtagswahl Thüringen 2019 26 72
Landtagswahl Brandenburg 2019 - kleine Parteien 36 48
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 - Direktmandate 38 47
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 33 69
Democratic Presidential Nominee, 2020 29 71
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremerhaven 2019 13 36
Kommunalwahl Baden-Württemberg 2019 30 49
Europawahl Frankreich 2019 14 36
Parlamentswahl der Deutschsprachigen Gemeinschaft in Belgien 2019 8 28
Europawahl Österreich 2019 29 67
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 32 83
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2019 (kl. Parteien) 35 50
Kantonsratswahl Luzern 2019 11 21
Europawahl 2019 - Mandate der EU-Befürworter 20 50
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 - Einzug Linke / FDP / Andere 22 42
Latvian parlamentary election, 2018 11 28
Landtagswahl Südtirol 2018 6 23
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 (kleine Parteien) 35 53
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Potsdam 2018 25 39
US-House elections 2018 23 33
US-Senate 2018 (WTA-Markt) 20 36
Kommunalwahl Schleswig-Holstein 2018 37 41
Parlamentswahl Italien 2018 8 33
Bundesvorstandswahl AfD 2017 15 36
Grossratswahl Bern 2018 4 18
Landtagswahl Tirol 2018 28 44
Bürgermeisterwahl Salzburg 2017 14 31
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Lübeck 2017 12 31
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 (kleine Parteien) 38 86
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 (interner Markt) 13 41
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2016 (Ost-Berlin) 12 34
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2016 (kleine Parteien) 20 38
US presidential election, 2016 47 77
Swiss Senate elections 2015 31 95
Senate elections - Canton Jura 2015 11 25
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Solothurn 9 31
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton St. Gallen 14 34
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Thurgau 18 36
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Graubunden 16 34
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Bochum 2015 13 31
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Essen 2015 16 34
Senate elections - Canton Obwalden 2015 19 39
Senate elections - Canton Solothurn 2015 17 35
Senate elections - Canton Luzern 2015 25 52
Senate elections - Canton Aargau 2015 22 62
Senate elections - Canton St. Gallen 2015 24 45
Senate elections - Canton Valais 2015 13 31
Senate elections - Canton Zug 2015 16 32
Landtagswahl Oberösterreich 2015 34 94
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Geneva 15 53
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Basel-Stadt 21 47
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Vaud 19 65
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Jura 13 36
Landtagswahl Burgenland 2015 29 42
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremerhaven 2015 17 53
Bürgerschaftswahl Hamburg 2015 (kleine Parteien) 24 75
Bürgermeisterwahl Stadt Salzburg 2014 10 34
Grossratswahl Kanton Bern 2014 27 53
Kommunalwahl Neumünster 2013 29 74
Plön local election, 2013 13 85
Karlsruhe mayoral election 2012 78 179
Israeli legislative election 2013 7 40
Niedersachsen federal election, 2013 18 127
Grüne Urabstimmung zur Spitzenkandidatur 2013 31 59
Kaernten federal election, 2013 42 105
Gemeinderatswahl Burgenland 2012 24 42
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 21 439
Grossratswahlen 2012 - Kanton Basel-Stadt 12 35
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 94 468
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 64 89
Senate elections in Ticino 19 105
House of Representatives election 2011 – big parties 16 1,499
House of Representatives election 2011 – small parties 249 609
Volksentscheid Bayern 73 91
North Rhine-Westphalia 84 193
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck 10 75
Nederland 20 54
Schleswig-Holstein 217 275

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
Schwyz state election, 2024 1 16
European Parliament election in France. 2024 3 18
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Freiburg 2018 4 29
Italian European Parliament election, 2024 5 18
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Regensburg 2020 2 16
Stadtratswahl Bamberg 2020 2 15
Romanian parliamentary election, 2012 5 35
Austrian European Parliament election, 2024 5 20
Luzern state election, 2023 6 20
Stadtratswahl Bayreuth 2020 3 14
Landtagswahl Südtirol 2018 6 23
St. Gallen state election, 2024 7 21
Grossratswahl Thurgau 2020 4 27
Israeli legislative election 2013 7 40
Stadtratswahl Würzburg 2020 2 19
Parlamentswahl Luxemburg 2018 4 21
Schaffhausen state election, 2024 9 17
Senate elections St. Gallen. 2023 8 22
Hungarian parliamentary election, 2022 6 24
4 18
Villach local elections, 2021 6 22
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 - kleine Parteien 9 52
Senate elections - Canton Fribourg 2015 9 33
8 13
Sachsen state election, 2024 10 39
Kantonsratswahl St. Gallen 2020 7 27
Landtagswahl Hessen 2018 (kleine Parteien) 10 37
Bürgermeisterwahl Stadt Salzburg 2014 10 34
11 28
Norwegian parliamentary election, 2021 9 20
Texas Democratic Primary, 2020 11 23
Kantonsratswahl Zürich 2019 11 26
Senate elections - Canton Jura 2015 11 25
Südtirol provincial election, 2023 9 25
Darmstadt mayoral election, 2023 5 22
California Democratic Primary, 2020 12 23
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2016 (Ost-Berlin) 12 34
US-House elections, 2024 10 30
Luxembourg general election, 2023 10 24
Nevada Democratic Caucus, 2020 13 26
Parlamentswahl Katalonien 2017 13 27
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Schwyz 10 36
Senate elections - Canton Basel-Stadt 2015 11 30
Basel-City state election, 2024 6 19
Uri state election, 2024 4 16
Liechtenstein general election, 2021 14 19
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Augsburg 2020 5 20
Stadtratswahl Augsburg 2020 11 20
Kantonsratswahl Luzern 2019 11 21
Parlamentswahl Italien 2018 8 33
Russian legislative election, 2016 12 24
Senate elections - Canton Neuchâtel 2015 6 25
CH - Volksabstimmung am 29.11.2009 - III. 14 45
Kassel mayoral election, 2023 7 21
Präsidentschaftswahl Tschech. Republik 2018 15 28
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Geneva 15 53
Steiermark state election, 2024 11 22
Spanish European Parliament election, 2024 16 17
Kantonsratswahl Schwyz 2020 4 23
Parlamentswahl Schweden 2018 16 37
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Graubunden 16 34
House of Representatives election 2011 – big parties 16 1,499
Sachsen-Anhalt state election, 2021 17 47
Canadian federal election, 2019 10 32
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Jura 13 36
Senate elections - Canton Basel-Landschaft 2015 14 36
Kantonale Wahlen Luzern 2011 17 48
Bern 17 47
24 - 7th Season VII 17 45
German European Parliament election, 2024 18 23
Sachsen-Anhalt state election, 2021 (small parties) 8 34
Super Tuesday Democratic Primaries, 2020 17 26
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Wiesbaden 2019 18 37
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Glarus 15 31
Niedersachsen federal election, 2013 18 127
Nederland 18 70
Gemeinderatswahl Wien 2020 (intern) 19 34
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Bochum 2015 13 31
Gemeindevertretungswahl Stadt Salzburg 2014 19 38
Sweden 19 68
Lower Saxony local elections, 2021 9 31
US-Senate 2018 (WTA-Markt) 20 36
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Freiburg 16 43
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Essen 2015 16 34
Salzburg local election, 2024 21 37
Saarland state election, 2022 21 46
Kommunalwahl Bayern 2020 16 34
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Basel-Landschaft 20 44
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 21 439
Schleswig-Holstein state election, 2022 16 47
Hamburg regional election, 2020 22 57
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 - Einzug Linke / FDP / Andere 22 42
Senate elections - Canton Aargau 2015 22 62
Swiss Senate elections - allocation of seats 22 457
Schl.-Holst. - Kleine Parteien 22 86
Czech Republic 22 65
Frankfurt mayoral election, 2023 23 27
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 23 34
Bürgermeisterwahl Istanbul 2019 23 34
Senate elections - Canton Ticino 2015 21 32
Denmark 23 67
Swiss House of Representatives election 2023 19 36
Nationalratswahl Schweiz 2019 24 51
Gemeinderatswahl Burgenland 2012 24 42
Volksabstimmung zum Nichtraucherschutz 18 32
Hessen - Wahlbeteiligung 24 84
Bavarian state election, 2023 23 57
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Thurgau 18 36
Polen 25 57
German federal election, 2021 25 44
Ralf Stegner 26 97
Bayern 1 26 72
Europawahl Großbritannien 2019 26 57
Grossratswahl Kanton Bern 2014 27 53
Ireland 27 66
Israel 27 100
German general election 2024 in Berlin (repeat election) 28 35
Bundeskanzlermarkt 2019 28 61
Burgenland 28 75
Spain 28 69
Europawahl Österreich 2019 29 67
Senate elections - Canton Luzern 2015 25 52
Stadtratswahl Köln 2014 26 46
Kommunalwahl Neumünster 2013 29 74
Israel - Ale Yarok 29 65
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 (small parties) 22 47
Oberbürgermeisterwahl München 2020 18 39
24 - 7th Season I 30 85
Brandenburg state election, 2024 31 44
Swiss Senate elections 2015 31 95
Rendsburg-Eckernförde local election, 2013 31 91
Hessen local elections, 2021 20 43
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 32 83
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Stuttgart 2012 25 58
24 - 7th Season II 32 66
Senate elections - Canton Bern 33 252
24 - 7th Season III 33 75
Burgenland state election, 2024 34 43
Kaernten state election, 2023 35 45
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2019 (kl. Parteien) 35 50
Senate elections - Canton Genève 2015 35 47
Australian Open 2009 (Women) 35 80
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 (small parties) 36 45
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 - Koalitionsmarkt 36 57
Grüne Urabstimmung zur Spitzenkandidatur 2013 31 59
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Aargau 34 59
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 - Direktmandate 38 47
German general election, 2025 39 104
Germany 39 180
Kommunalwahl Baden-Württemberg 2019 30 49
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck - Wahlbeteiligung 41 65
Thüringen - Kleine Parteien 41 48
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2019 44 63
Weltmeistermarkt 2010 44 97
Peter Harry Carstensen 44 94
German general election, 2021 44 81
US Presidential election, 2024 (WTA market) 40 76
24 - 7th Season IV 48 71
United Kingdom 48 79
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 (kleine Parteien) 50 69
German soccer champion 2009 50 108
Hessen - Drittstärkste Partei 51 134
Wolfgang Clement 54 88
European Parliament 56 85
Österreich - Tirol 56 124
Österreich - Bundespräsident 57 112
Bavaria 58 169
Hessen - Koalition 60 121
Gemeinderatswahl Vienna 2015 55 122
Germany 64 226
Hessen - Neuwahlen 67 129
Iceland 69 92
North Rhine-Westphalia 72 104
Volksentscheid Bayern 73 91
Klubanzahl 74 142
KPÖ - BZÖ 78 129
Hesse 84 245
SPD-Kanzlerkandidat 86 156
ÖVP 93 171
Stärkste Partei 96 198
Dinkhauser 101 220
Graz local election, 2013 114 144
BZÖ 128 168
Germany 132 559
LIF 149 234
USA Elections 2008 173 294
Schleswig-Holstein 217 275
Austria 375 725
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Fine music for political ears

What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

How does this work?

This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

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