bekol on political stock market

Registered since:
21.02.2009

Current posts from bekol

Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
Vienna local elections, 2025 1 20
9 20
1 28
German general election, 2025 (Seats for small parties) 23 25
Steiermark local elections, 2025 1 24
Vorarlberg local elections, 2025 3 22
Vienna local elections, 2025 3 36
Niederoesterreich local elections, 2025 3 20
Burgenland state election, 2024 1 43
German general election, 2025 8 104
US-Presidential election, 2024 (popular vote) 2 35
US-Presidential election, 2024 (538-market) 1 41
US-House elections, 2024 4 30
US-Senate elections, 2024 1 31
Steiermark state election, 2024 2 47
Vorarlberg state election, 2024 24 31
Brandenburg state election, 2024 38 44
Sachsen state election, 2024 34 39
Thueringen state election, 2024 11 39
French legislative election, 2024 14 25
United Kingdom general election, 2024 24 26
Italian European Parliament election, 2024 17 18
German European Parliament election, 2024 2 48
Austrian European Parliament election, 2024 1 37
Innsbruck mayoral election, 2024 3 31
Innsbruck local election, 2024 30 31
US Presidential election, 2024 (WTA market) 1 76
Salzburg mayoral election, 2024 2 35
1 28
German general election 2024 in Berlin (repeat election) 2 35
7 26
1 18
Salzburg local election, 2024 2 37
Austrian general election,2024 1 85
Polish parliamentary election, 2023 15 16
Südtirol provincial election, 2023 24 25
Bavarian state election, 2023 3 57
Hessen state election, 2023 4 50
Swiss House of Representatives election 2023 19 36
15 17
Turkish presidential election, 2023 1 38
Salzburg state election, 2023 37 48
East-Berlin state election, 2023 14 26
Kaernten state election, 2023 3 45
Berlin state election, 2023 55 55
Czech presidential election, 2023 1 20
Niederösterreich state election, 2022 3 42
28 33
12 12
12 13
1 14
1 15
27 28
26 29
Austrian presidential election, 2022 39 42
Italian general election, 2022 25 26
Tirol state election, 2022 4 38
Nordrhein-Westfalen state election, 2022 47 50
Hungarian parliamentary election, 2022 2 24
French presidential election, 2022 3 54
Kufstein local election, 2022 11 25
Lienz local election, 2022 6 21
Wörgl local election, 2022 3 21
Hall in Tirol local election, 2022 30 38
Waidhofen/Ybbs local election, 2022 1 31
1 36
2 44
18 18
German general election, 2021 (party ranking) 1 36
Graz local election, 2021 11 35
Russian legislative election, 2021 1 18
German general election, 2021 68 81
Oberösterreich state election, 2021 6 54
Klagenfurt mayoral election, 2021 4 25
Klagenfurt local elections, 2021 1 26
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 52 53
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 53 55
45 49
2 34
2 36
Vienna local election, 2020 26 57
US Presidentail eleceton, 2020 48 59
Michigan Democratic Primary, 2020 4 22
North Carolina Democratic Primary, 2020 2 22
Super Tuesday Democratic Primaries, 2020 1 26
Texas Democratic Primary, 2020 3 23
South Carolina Democratic Primary, 2020 1 26
Nevada Democratic Caucus, 2020 4 26
New Hampshire Democratic Primary, 2020 25 25
Iowa Democratic Caucus, 2020 29 31
Hamburg regional election, 2020 56 57
Deutscher Fussballmeister 2019/2020 21 29
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2019 (Mandate) 31 32
Landtagswahl Burgenland 2020 53 53
Landtagswahl Steiermark 2019 4 42
Parlamentswahl Spanien 2019 21 21
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2019 5 49
Kanzlermarkt Österreich 2019 1 44
Koalitionsmarkt Österreich 2019 1 48
Landtagswahl Vorarlberg 2019 2 47
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2019 4 101
Landtagswahl Thüringen 2019 61 72
Landtagswahl Brandenburg 2019 56 66
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 2 69
Präsident der EU-Kommission, 2019 11 34
Conservative Party leadership election, 2019 1 34
Democratic Presidential Nominee, 2020 1 71
Europawahl Großbritannien 2019 55 57
Europawahl Österreich 2019 1 67
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 5 83
Parlamentswahl Spanien 2019 31 32
Bürgermeisterwahl Stadt Salzburg 2019 1 28
Gemeindevertretungswahl Stadt Salzburg 2019 24 26
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2019 55 63
CDU-Parteivorsitz 2018 (WTA) 37 48
Europawahl 2019 - Mandate der EU-Befürworter 2 50
Bundeskanzlermarkt 2019 1 61
Landtagswahl Hessen 2018 4 66
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 10 71
Parlamentswahl Schweden 2018 27 37
Fußball-WM 2018 20 53
US-House elections 2018 13 33
US-Senate elections 2018 2 30
US-Senate 2018 (WTA-Markt) 10 36
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Gera 2018 10 25
Parlamentswahl Türkei 2018 5 30
Parlamentswahl Ungarn 2018 6 14
Gemeinderatswahl Innsbruck 2018 34 36
Landtagswahl Salzburg 2018 41 43
Landtagswahl Kärnten 2018 (kl. Parteien) 4 18
Landtagswahl Kärnten 2018 4 31
SPD-Mitgliederentscheid zur Koalition 2018 2 29
Parlamentswahl Italien 2018 30 33
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 - Koalitionsmarkt 1 57
Landtagswahl Tirol 2018 39 44
Landtagswahl Niederösterreich 2018 3 49
Bürgermeisterwahl Salzburg 2017 6 31
Alabama Senate special election, 2017 21 26
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 (Drittstärkste Partei) 14 51
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 57 82
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 (kleine Parteien) 8 86
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 7 118
Landtagswahl Nordrhein-Westfalen 2017 41 53
Präsidentschaftswahl Frankreich 2017 2 60
Landtagswahl Saarland 2017 46 56
Parlamentswahl Niederlande 2017 22 34
Gemeinderatswahl Graz 2017 2 52
Landtagswahl Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2016 (Fehlerquote der Umfrageinstitute) 26 28
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2016 (Ost-Berlin) 6 34
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2016 16 68
Landtagswahl Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2016 5 58
US presidential election, 2016 31 77
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2016 6 65
Bundespräsidentenwahl Österreich 2016 90 154
Landtagswahl Sachsen-Anhalt 2016 44 62
Baden-Württemberg federal election, 2016 17 54
Greek parliamentary election, 2015 12 34
Parlamentswahl Polen 2015 10 23
Swiss House of Representatives election 2015 11 28
Gemeinderatswahl Vienna 2015 30 122
Landtagswahl Oberösterreich 2015 4 94
GOP Presidential Nominee 2016 31 100
US presidential election, 2012 19 80
Fussball Europa-Meister 2012 (WTIA-Markt) 37 54
Greek parliamentary election 2012 33 54
Landtagswahl Schleswig-Holstein 2012 (Expertenmarkt) 6 25
New York Republican Primary 2012 5 25
Landtagswahlen Schleswig-Holstein 2012 - Koalitionsmarkt 88 107
Landtagswahlen Schleswig-Holstein 2012 - Wahlbeteiligung 71 73
London mayoral election, 2012 6 27
Wisconsin Republican Primary 2012 10 24
North Rhine-Westphalia federal election 2012 123 133
North Rhine-Westphalia federal election 2012 (small parties) 80 108
Bundespräsidentenwahl 2012 23 23
Landtagswahlen Schleswig-Holstein 2012 - Einzug FDP / Linke / Piraten 131 155
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 - Grüne / Piraten 30 35
Mississippi Republican Primary 2012 5 20
Kansas Republican Caucus 2012 6 25
Bürgermeisterwahlen Innsbruck 2012 23 30
Greek parliamentary election 2012 38 39
neuer Bundespräsident 3 24
French presidential election 2012 16 71
Arizona Republican Primary 2012 3 23
Deutscher Meister 2012 11 50
Republican Super Tuesday 2012 1 33
Virginia Republican Primary 2012 11 26
Gemeinderatswahlen Innsbruck 2012 35 36
Ohio Republican Primary 2012 23 24
Michigan Republican Primary 2012 22 27
Washington Republican Caucus 2012 8 22
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 39 468
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 (small parties) 165 200
Minnesota Republican Caucus 2012 12 28
Nevada Republican Caucus 2012 5 27
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 3 89
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 (kleine Parteien) 41 56
Australian Open 2012 - Men's Single 1 21
Florida Republican Primary 2012 32 34
South Carolina Republican Primary 2012 28 33
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2012 4 117
New Hampshire Republican Primary 2012 6 34
Slovakian parlamentary election 2012 6 31
1. Bundesliga Deutschland 2011/2012 16 62
1. Bundesliga Österreich 2011/2012 16 23
Republican Presidential Nominee 2012 72 85
Landtagswahl Sachsen-Anhalt 2011 46 118
Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg 2011 67 189
Fußball-Europameisterschaft 2012 / Qualifikation Gruppe A 42 57
neue Senatszusammensetzung 6 34
Kongresswahlen (vote share) 7 35
Wien - Kleine Parteien 15 48
Steiermark 1 98
Wien 18 193
1. Bundesliga Deutschland 2010/2011 76 93
tipp3 Bundesliga 1 56
Fußball: WM 2010 19 103
NRW - Koalition 15 127
North Rhine-Westphalia 156 193
NRW - Kleine Parteien 66 87
Car market AUT 7 62

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
1 28
Vienna local elections, 2025 1 20
Steiermark local elections, 2025 1 24
Burgenland state election, 2024 1 43
US-Senate elections, 2024 1 31
US-Presidential election, 2024 (538-market) 1 41
US Presidential election, 2024 (WTA market) 1 76
Austrian general election,2024 1 85
Austrian European Parliament election, 2024 1 37
1 28
1 18
Turkish presidential election, 2023 1 38
Czech presidential election, 2023 1 20
1 14
1 15
Waidhofen/Ybbs local election, 2022 1 31
1 36
German general election, 2021 (party ranking) 1 36
Russian legislative election, 2021 1 18
Klagenfurt local elections, 2021 1 26
Democratic Presidential Nominee, 2020 1 71
Super Tuesday Democratic Primaries, 2020 1 26
South Carolina Democratic Primary, 2020 1 26
Koalitionsmarkt Österreich 2019 1 48
Kanzlermarkt Österreich 2019 1 44
Conservative Party leadership election, 2019 1 34
Bundeskanzlermarkt 2019 1 61
Europawahl Österreich 2019 1 67
Bürgermeisterwahl Stadt Salzburg 2019 1 28
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 - Koalitionsmarkt 1 57
Republican Super Tuesday 2012 1 33
Australian Open 2012 - Men's Single 1 21
tipp3 Bundesliga 1 56
Steiermark 1 98
Portugal 1 53
European Parliament 1 85
Steiermark state election, 2024 2 47
US-Presidential election, 2024 (popular vote) 2 35
German European Parliament election, 2024 2 48
Salzburg mayoral election, 2024 2 35
Salzburg local election, 2024 2 37
German general election 2024 in Berlin (repeat election) 2 35
Hungarian parliamentary election, 2022 2 24
2 44
2 34
2 36
North Carolina Democratic Primary, 2020 2 22
Landtagswahl Vorarlberg 2019 2 47
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 2 69
Europawahl 2019 - Mandate der EU-Befürworter 2 50
US-Senate elections 2018 2 30
SPD-Mitgliederentscheid zur Koalition 2018 2 29
Präsidentschaftswahl Frankreich 2017 2 60
Gemeinderatswahl Graz 2017 2 52
Federal Convention Germany 2 101
Vienna local elections, 2025 3 36
Vorarlberg local elections, 2025 3 22
Niederoesterreich local elections, 2025 3 20
Innsbruck mayoral election, 2024 3 31
Bavarian state election, 2023 3 57
Kaernten state election, 2023 3 45
Niederösterreich state election, 2022 3 42
French presidential election, 2022 3 54
Wörgl local election, 2022 3 21
Texas Democratic Primary, 2020 3 23
Landtagswahl Niederösterreich 2018 3 49
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 3 89
Arizona Republican Primary 2012 3 23
neuer Bundespräsident 3 24
United Kingdom - PM 3 58
Poland 3 66
Greece 3 77
US-House elections, 2024 4 30
Hessen state election, 2023 4 50
Tirol state election, 2022 4 38
Klagenfurt mayoral election, 2021 4 25
Michigan Democratic Primary, 2020 4 22
Nevada Democratic Caucus, 2020 4 26
Landtagswahl Steiermark 2019 4 42
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2019 4 101
Landtagswahl Hessen 2018 4 66
Landtagswahl Kärnten 2018 4 31
Landtagswahl Kärnten 2018 (kl. Parteien) 4 18
Landtagswahl Oberösterreich 2015 4 94
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2012 4 117
Germany 4 180
Sweden 4 68
Denmark 4 67
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2019 5 49
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 5 83
Parlamentswahl Türkei 2018 5 30
Landtagswahl Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2016 5 58
New York Republican Primary 2012 5 25
Mississippi Republican Primary 2012 5 20
Nevada Republican Caucus 2012 5 27
Dieter Althaus 5 78
Lienz local election, 2022 6 21
Oberösterreich state election, 2021 6 54
Parlamentswahl Ungarn 2018 6 14
Bürgermeisterwahl Salzburg 2017 6 31
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2016 (Ost-Berlin) 6 34
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2016 6 65
Landtagswahl Schleswig-Holstein 2012 (Expertenmarkt) 6 25
London mayoral election, 2012 6 27
Kansas Republican Caucus 2012 6 25
Slovakian parlamentary election 2012 6 31
New Hampshire Republican Primary 2012 6 34
neue Senatszusammensetzung 6 34
Car trends AUT 6 68
7 26
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 7 118
Kongresswahlen (vote share) 7 35
Car market AUT 7 62
German general election, 2025 8 104
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 (kleine Parteien) 8 86
Washington Republican Caucus 2012 8 22
Austria 8 144
9 20
United Kingdom 9 79
US-Senate 2018 (WTA-Markt) 10 36
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 10 71
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Gera 2018 10 25
Parlamentswahl Polen 2015 10 23
Wisconsin Republican Primary 2012 10 24
Thueringen state election, 2024 11 39
Kufstein local election, 2022 11 25
Graz local election, 2021 11 35
Präsident der EU-Kommission, 2019 11 34
Swiss House of Representatives election 2015 11 28
Deutscher Meister 2012 11 50
Virginia Republican Primary 2012 11 26
French Open 2009 (Women) 11 48
12 12
12 13
Greek parliamentary election, 2015 12 34
Minnesota Republican Caucus 2012 12 28
France 12 71
US-House election 2009 12 47
US-House elections 2018 13 33
Öst. - BP-Wahlbeteiligung 13 75
Hungary 13 79
French legislative election, 2024 14 25
East-Berlin state election, 2023 14 26
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 (Drittstärkste Partei) 14 51
Belgium 14 49
Polish parliamentary election, 2023 15 16
15 17
Wien - Kleine Parteien 15 48
NRW - Koalition 15 127
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2016 16 68
1. Bundesliga Österreich 2011/2012 16 23
French presidential election 2012 16 71
1. Bundesliga Deutschland 2011/2012 16 62
Ireland 16 66
Italian European Parliament election, 2024 17 18
Baden-Württemberg federal election, 2016 17 54
18 18
Wien 18 193
US presidential election, 2012 19 80
Fußball: WM 2010 19 103
Fußball-WM 2018 20 53
Burgenland 20 75
Deutscher Fussballmeister 2019/2020 21 29
Parlamentswahl Spanien 2019 21 21
Alabama Senate special election, 2017 21 26
Parlamentswahl Niederlande 2017 22 34
Michigan Republican Primary 2012 22 27
German general election, 2025 (Seats for small parties) 23 25
Bürgermeisterwahlen Innsbruck 2012 23 30
Bundespräsidentenwahl 2012 23 23
Ohio Republican Primary 2012 23 24
Vorarlberg state election, 2024 24 31
United Kingdom general election, 2024 24 26
Südtirol provincial election, 2023 24 25
Gemeindevertretungswahl Stadt Salzburg 2019 24 26
Swiss House of Representatives election 2023 19 36
Italian general election, 2022 25 26
New Hampshire Democratic Primary, 2020 25 25
26 29
Vienna local election, 2020 26 57
Landtagswahl Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2016 (Fehlerquote der Umfrageinstitute) 26 28
27 28
Parlamentswahl Schweden 2018 27 37
28 33
South Carolina Republican Primary 2012 28 33
Iowa Democratic Caucus, 2020 29 31
Innsbruck local election, 2024 30 31
Hall in Tirol local election, 2022 30 38
Parlamentswahl Italien 2018 30 33
Gemeinderatswahl Vienna 2015 30 122
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 - Grüne / Piraten 30 35
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2019 (Mandate) 31 32
Parlamentswahl Spanien 2019 31 32
US presidential election, 2016 31 77
GOP Presidential Nominee 2016 31 100
Florida Republican Primary 2012 32 34
Greek parliamentary election 2012 33 54
Österreich - Bundespräsident 33 112
Sachsen state election, 2024 34 39
Gemeinderatswahl Innsbruck 2018 34 36
Gemeinderatswahlen Innsbruck 2012 35 36
Salzburg state election, 2023 37 48
CDU-Parteivorsitz 2018 (WTA) 37 48
Fussball Europa-Meister 2012 (WTIA-Markt) 37 54
Saarland - MP 37 100
Brandenburg state election, 2024 38 44
Greek parliamentary election 2012 38 39
Salzburg 38 114
Austrian presidential election, 2022 39 42
Landtagswahl Tirol 2018 39 44
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 39 468
Latvia - Riga 39 42
Luxembourg 39 50
French Open 2009 (Men) 40 53
Landtagswahl Salzburg 2018 41 43
Landtagswahl Nordrhein-Westfalen 2017 41 53
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 (kleine Parteien) 41 56
Fußball-Europameisterschaft 2012 / Qualifikation Gruppe A 42 57
Landtagswahl Sachsen-Anhalt 2016 44 62
45 49
Slovenia 45 50
Landtagswahl Saarland 2017 46 56
Landtagswahl Sachsen-Anhalt 2011 46 118
Nordrhein-Westfalen state election, 2022 47 50
US Presidentail eleceton, 2020 48 59
Finland 48 53
Upper Austria 49 151
United Kingdom 51 79
Iceland 51 92
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 52 53
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 53 55
Landtagswahl Burgenland 2020 53 53
Berlin state election, 2023 55 55
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2019 55 63
Europawahl Großbritannien 2019 55 57
Hamburg regional election, 2020 56 57
Landtagswahl Brandenburg 2019 56 66
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 57 82
Saarland 59 163
Nederland 59 70
Vorarlberg 60 87
Landtagswahl Thüringen 2019 61 72
Dtl. - Kl. Parteien (interner Markt) 61 113
Czech Republic 61 65
Thüringen - MP 63 103
Spain 64 69
NRW - Kleine Parteien 66 87
Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg 2011 67 189
German general election, 2021 68 81
Latvia 69 70
Landtagswahlen Schleswig-Holstein 2012 - Wahlbeteiligung 71 73
Italy 71 74
Republican Presidential Nominee 2012 72 85
Suisse - Federal Council 2009 74 79
Petition for a referendum Berlin 75 87
1. Bundesliga Deutschland 2010/2011 76 93
North Rhine-Westphalia federal election 2012 (small parties) 80 108
Germany 82 559
Kärnten 83 137
Fußball: 1. Bundesliga D 84 143
Landtagswahlen Schleswig-Holstein 2012 - Koalitionsmarkt 88 107
Bundespräsidentenwahl Österreich 2016 90 154
Referendum Berlin 93 109
German soccer champion 2009 107 108
Opel 113 123
North Rhine-Westphalia federal election 2012 123 133
Federal President Germany 125 251
Landtagswahlen Schleswig-Holstein 2012 - Einzug FDP / Linke / Piraten 131 155
North Rhine-Westphalia 156 193
Dtl. - Koalition 164 252
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 (small parties) 165 200
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Fine music for political ears

What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

How does this work?

This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

Found an error?
Your Feedback?

Please send error messages and feedback by email to: help@wahlfieber.com