bekol on political stock market

Registered since:
21.02.2009

Current posts from bekol

Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
Vienna local elections, 2025 1 16
3 20
1 25
German general election, 2025 (Seats for small parties) 23 25
Steiermark local elections, 2025 1 24
Vorarlberg local elections, 2025 3 22
Vienna local elections, 2025 29 30
Niederoesterreich local elections, 2025 3 20
Burgenland state election, 2024 1 43
German general election, 2025 8 104
US-Presidential election, 2024 (popular vote) 2 35
US-House elections, 2024 4 30
Steiermark state election, 2024 2 47
Brandenburg state election, 2024 38 44
Thueringen state election, 2024 11 39
United Kingdom general election, 2024 24 26
German European Parliament election, 2024 2 48
Innsbruck mayoral election, 2024 3 31
US Presidential election, 2024 (WTA market) 1 76
1 28
7 26
Salzburg local election, 2024 2 37
Polish parliamentary election, 2023 15 16
Bavarian state election, 2023 3 57
Swiss House of Representatives election 2023 19 36
Turkish presidential election, 2023 1 38
East-Berlin state election, 2023 14 26
Berlin state election, 2023 55 55
Niederösterreich state election, 2022 3 42
12 12
1 14
27 28
Austrian presidential election, 2022 39 42
Tirol state election, 2022 4 38
Hungarian parliamentary election, 2022 2 24
Kufstein local election, 2022 11 25
Wörgl local election, 2022 3 21
Waidhofen/Ybbs local election, 2022 1 31
2 44
German general election, 2021 (party ranking) 1 36
Russian legislative election, 2021 1 18
Oberösterreich state election, 2021 6 54
Klagenfurt local elections, 2021 1 26
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 53 55
2 34
Vienna local election, 2020 26 57
Michigan Democratic Primary, 2020 4 22
Super Tuesday Democratic Primaries, 2020 1 26
South Carolina Democratic Primary, 2020 1 26
New Hampshire Democratic Primary, 2020 25 25
Hamburg regional election, 2020 56 57
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2019 (Mandate) 31 32
Landtagswahl Steiermark 2019 4 42
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2019 5 49
Koalitionsmarkt Österreich 2019 1 48
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2019 4 101
Landtagswahl Brandenburg 2019 56 66
Präsident der EU-Kommission, 2019 11 34
Democratic Presidential Nominee, 2020 1 71
Europawahl Österreich 2019 1 67
Parlamentswahl Spanien 2019 31 32
Gemeindevertretungswahl Stadt Salzburg 2019 24 26
CDU-Parteivorsitz 2018 (WTA) 37 48
Bundeskanzlermarkt 2019 1 61
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 10 71
Fußball-WM 2018 20 53
US-Senate elections 2018 2 30
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Gera 2018 10 25
Parlamentswahl Ungarn 2018 6 14
Landtagswahl Salzburg 2018 41 43
Landtagswahl Kärnten 2018 4 31
Parlamentswahl Italien 2018 30 33
Landtagswahl Tirol 2018 39 44
Bürgermeisterwahl Salzburg 2017 6 31
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 (Drittstärkste Partei) 14 51
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 (kleine Parteien) 8 86
Landtagswahl Nordrhein-Westfalen 2017 41 53
Landtagswahl Saarland 2017 46 56
Gemeinderatswahl Graz 2017 2 52
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2016 (Ost-Berlin) 6 34
Landtagswahl Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2016 5 58
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2016 6 65
Landtagswahl Sachsen-Anhalt 2016 44 62
Greek parliamentary election, 2015 12 34
Swiss House of Representatives election 2015 11 28
Landtagswahl Oberösterreich 2015 4 94
US presidential election, 2012 19 80
Greek parliamentary election 2012 33 54
New York Republican Primary 2012 5 25
Landtagswahlen Schleswig-Holstein 2012 - Wahlbeteiligung 71 73
Wisconsin Republican Primary 2012 10 24
North Rhine-Westphalia federal election 2012 (small parties) 80 108
Landtagswahlen Schleswig-Holstein 2012 - Einzug FDP / Linke / Piraten 131 155
Mississippi Republican Primary 2012 5 20
Bürgermeisterwahlen Innsbruck 2012 23 30
neuer Bundespräsident 3 24
Arizona Republican Primary 2012 3 23
Republican Super Tuesday 2012 1 33
Gemeinderatswahlen Innsbruck 2012 35 36
Michigan Republican Primary 2012 22 27
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 39 468
Minnesota Republican Caucus 2012 12 28
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 3 89
Australian Open 2012 - Men's Single 1 21
South Carolina Republican Primary 2012 28 33
New Hampshire Republican Primary 2012 6 34
1. Bundesliga Deutschland 2011/2012 16 62
Republican Presidential Nominee 2012 72 85
Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg 2011 67 189
neue Senatszusammensetzung 6 34
Wien - Kleine Parteien 15 48
Wien 18 193
tipp3 Bundesliga 1 56
NRW - Koalition 15 127
NRW - Kleine Parteien 66 87

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
1 25
Vienna local elections, 2025 1 16
Steiermark local elections, 2025 1 24
Burgenland state election, 2024 1 43
US-Senate elections, 2024 1 31
US-Presidential election, 2024 (538-market) 1 41
US Presidential election, 2024 (WTA market) 1 76
Austrian general election,2024 1 85
Austrian European Parliament election, 2024 1 37
1 28
1 18
Czech presidential election, 2023 1 20
1 15
1 36
Russian legislative election, 2021 1 18
Democratic Presidential Nominee, 2020 1 71
South Carolina Democratic Primary, 2020 1 26
Kanzlermarkt Österreich 2019 1 44
Bundeskanzlermarkt 2019 1 61
Bürgermeisterwahl Stadt Salzburg 2019 1 28
Republican Super Tuesday 2012 1 33
tipp3 Bundesliga 1 56
Portugal 1 53
Steiermark state election, 2024 2 47
German European Parliament election, 2024 2 48
Salzburg local election, 2024 2 37
Hungarian parliamentary election, 2022 2 24
2 34
North Carolina Democratic Primary, 2020 2 22
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 2 69
US-Senate elections 2018 2 30
Präsidentschaftswahl Frankreich 2017 2 60
Federal Convention Germany 2 101
3 20
Innsbruck mayoral election, 2024 3 31
Kaernten state election, 2023 3 45
French presidential election, 2022 3 54
Texas Democratic Primary, 2020 3 23
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 3 89
neuer Bundespräsident 3 24
Poland 3 66
US-House elections, 2024 4 30
Tirol state election, 2022 4 38
Michigan Democratic Primary, 2020 4 22
Landtagswahl Steiermark 2019 4 42
Landtagswahl Hessen 2018 4 66
Landtagswahl Kärnten 2018 (kl. Parteien) 4 18
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2012 4 117
Sweden 4 68
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2019 5 49
Parlamentswahl Türkei 2018 5 30
New York Republican Primary 2012 5 25
Nevada Republican Caucus 2012 5 27
Lienz local election, 2022 6 21
Parlamentswahl Ungarn 2018 6 14
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2016 (Ost-Berlin) 6 34
Landtagswahl Schleswig-Holstein 2012 (Expertenmarkt) 6 25
Kansas Republican Caucus 2012 6 25
New Hampshire Republican Primary 2012 6 34
Car trends AUT 6 68
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 7 118
Car market AUT 7 62
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 (kleine Parteien) 8 86
Austria 8 144
US-Senate 2018 (WTA-Markt) 10 36
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Gera 2018 10 25
Wisconsin Republican Primary 2012 10 24
Kufstein local election, 2022 11 25
Präsident der EU-Kommission, 2019 11 34
Deutscher Meister 2012 11 50
French Open 2009 (Women) 11 48
12 13
Minnesota Republican Caucus 2012 12 28
US-House election 2009 12 47
Öst. - BP-Wahlbeteiligung 13 75
French legislative election, 2024 14 25
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 (Drittstärkste Partei) 14 51
Polish parliamentary election, 2023 15 16
Wien - Kleine Parteien 15 48
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2016 16 68
French presidential election 2012 16 71
Ireland 16 66
Baden-Württemberg federal election, 2016 17 54
Wien 18 193
Fußball: WM 2010 19 103
Burgenland 20 75
Parlamentswahl Spanien 2019 21 21
Parlamentswahl Niederlande 2017 22 34
German general election, 2025 (Seats for small parties) 23 25
Bundespräsidentenwahl 2012 23 23
Vorarlberg state election, 2024 24 31
Südtirol provincial election, 2023 24 25
Swiss House of Representatives election 2023 19 36
New Hampshire Democratic Primary, 2020 25 25
Vienna local election, 2020 26 57
27 28
28 33
Vienna local elections, 2025 29 30
Innsbruck local election, 2024 30 31
Parlamentswahl Italien 2018 30 33
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 - Grüne / Piraten 30 35
Parlamentswahl Spanien 2019 31 32
GOP Presidential Nominee 2016 31 100
Greek parliamentary election 2012 33 54
Sachsen state election, 2024 34 39
Gemeinderatswahlen Innsbruck 2012 35 36
CDU-Parteivorsitz 2018 (WTA) 37 48
Saarland - MP 37 100
Greek parliamentary election 2012 38 39
Austrian presidential election, 2022 39 42
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 39 468
Luxembourg 39 50
Landtagswahl Salzburg 2018 41 43
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 (kleine Parteien) 41 56
Landtagswahl Sachsen-Anhalt 2016 44 62
Slovenia 45 50
Landtagswahl Sachsen-Anhalt 2011 46 118
US Presidentail eleceton, 2020 48 59
Upper Austria 49 151
Iceland 51 92
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 53 55
Berlin state election, 2023 55 55
Europawahl Großbritannien 2019 55 57
Landtagswahl Brandenburg 2019 56 66
Saarland 59 163
Vorarlberg 60 87
Dtl. - Kl. Parteien (interner Markt) 61 113
Thüringen - MP 63 103
NRW - Kleine Parteien 66 87
German general election, 2021 68 81
Landtagswahlen Schleswig-Holstein 2012 - Wahlbeteiligung 71 73
Republican Presidential Nominee 2012 72 85
Petition for a referendum Berlin 75 87
North Rhine-Westphalia federal election 2012 (small parties) 80 108
Kärnten 83 137
Landtagswahlen Schleswig-Holstein 2012 - Koalitionsmarkt 88 107
Referendum Berlin 93 109
Opel 113 123
Federal President Germany 125 251
North Rhine-Westphalia 156 193
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 (small parties) 165 200
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Fine music for political ears

What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

How does this work?

This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

Found an error?
Your Feedback?

Please send error messages and feedback by email to: help@wahlfieber.com