Parlamentswahl Slowenien 2026

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  • Parlamentswahl Slowenien 2026

    gruener (Luddit), 25.01.2026 18:58
    #1

    Ein weiterer Markt für eine Wahl im März 2026.

    Die Wahl in Slowenien findet am 22.03. statt - der Markt startet am morgigen Montag.

    ............

    Ich bitte zu beachten:

    Zum Teil sind mehrere Parteien in einer Aktie zusammengefasst - es finden derzeit noch Verhandlungen über mögliche Wahlbündnisse statt.

    In Slowenien gilt bei Parlamentswahlen eine 4-%-Hürde.

    Vor dem Eintritt in den Handel bitte über den aktuellen Stand der Dinge informieren.

    u.a. via:

    .............

    Habe ich irgendeine bedeutsame Partei vergessen?

  • Parlamentswahl Slowenien 2026 - aktuelle Einschätzung des Wahlfieber Team

    Wahlfieber Team, 25.01.2026 20:22, Reply to #1
    #2

    ***********************

    Vorläufige Einschätzung vom ... Wahlfieber Team ... für die Parlamentswahl in Slowenien am 22.03.2026

    *******

    *******

    Partei
    Erwartung

    Anmerkungen


    22.01.2026






    GS
    21%

    SDS
    28%

    NSI/SLS/Fokus

    8,5%

    SD
    8%

    Levica/
    6%

    RES

    5%

    DEM

    8%

    PVP
    4%

    SNS
    3%

    Pirati
    3%

    Andere
    5,5%






    **********

    Anmerkungen:

    Die obigen Zahlen stellen noch keine Prognose zum Ausgang der Wahl dar, sondern sind lediglich eine tagesaktuelle Einschätzung, die sich bis zum Wahltag noch entscheidend verändern kann/wird.

  • Parlamentswahl Slowenien 2026 - Prognosen und Einschätzungen

    gruener (Luddit), 22.03.2026 17:19, Reply to #2
    #3

    Folgende finale Prognosen liegen mir vor:

    GSSDSNSISDLevicaRESDEMPVPAndere
    Ergebnis 202234,5023,506,906,705,802,900,000,0019,70
    Prognosen 2026
    Wahlbörsen *
    Wahlfieber - Schlusskurs26,7827,068,638,088,044,966,932,137,39
    detaill. Wahlfieber-Werte
    Wahlfieber - 7 Tage24,5127,288,708,168,135,588,052,157,44
    GSSDSNSISDLevicaRESDEMPVPAndere
    Umfragen
    Mediana27,7027,808,805,507,605,107,303,406,80
    Parsifal23,1030,007,507,607,904,609,202,207,90
    Ninamedia30,2026,207,707,708,203,605,603,007,80
    Valicon28,7025,207,809,008,404,007,003,006,90
    IJEK22,8026,3010,408,108,607,206,702,307,60
    Info360.si15,7029,7010,905,304,404,3017,805,706,20
    Weitere Umfragen
    Sendestörung26,0027,008,508,007,504,507,502,508,50
    XPoll2123,3228,198,198,077,724,597,832,679,42
    Sonstige Umfr.-Prognosen
    Odmev24,9026,009,108,207,805,607,100,0011,30
    PolitPro23,6027,807,608,107,404,101,903,0016,50
    Politico25,0027,008,008,008,004,007,003,0010,00
    Volilna napoved24,9325,959,068,207,755,587,130,0011,40
    Globe Elections UN26,1924,688,167,927,654,917,113,2810,10
    GSSDSNSISDLevicaRESDEMPVPAndere
    Expertenprognosen
    Wahlfieber Team27,0027,008,507,508,004,507,002,508,00
    Romani seniores, Aenii26,7526,758,007,508,503,507,502,509,00
    MMI-Wahltrend25,9227,778,297,347,914,637,492,658,02
    Wahltipps
    Grok28,0027,008,006,507,504,506,000,0012,50
    Wahlfieber-User26,4627,398,397,427,954,577,242,578,01
    Wahlfieber Average25,9127,408,427,737,854,637,332,508,22
    GSSDSNSISDLevicaRESDEMPVPAndere
    Durchschnittswerte
    Wahlbörsen26,7827,068,638,088,044,966,932,137,39
    Umfragen24,7027,538,857,207,524,808,933,277,20
    Weitere Umfragen24,6627,598,358,047,614,557,662,588,96
    Sonstige Prognosen24,9226,298,388,087,724,846,052,3211,40
    Expertenprognosen26,5627,178,267,458,144,217,332,558,34
    Wahltipps26,9627,208,217,127,684,566,671,2510,36
    Gesamtdurchschnitt
    Summen25,3927,098,507,607,724,677,442,579,00
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