It may get close, Labour rises with Jacinda, but the Greens could get thrown out of the parliament:
National had 44 percent of the vote to Labour’s 37 percent in a One News/Colmar Brunton poll last week, while New Zealand First had 10 percent. Labour could get across the line with the additional support of ally the Green Party, which had just 4 percent in the poll.
Labour may win with classic but often forgotten social democratic values, softening the growing gap between the rich and the poor.
Their leader is now as popular as the PM:
Ms Ardern's neck-and-neck with National leader Bill English on 30 percent, soaring up 24 percentage points.
Newshub's poll saw her surge 19.6 percentage points, up to 26.3 percent - just 1.4 percent behind Mr English.
http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/election/2017/08/greens-could-be-out-of-parliament -poll-reveals.html
It's surprisingly silent in this market. Jacinda Ardern may reach the biggest comeback of a socialdemocratic party in the last 30 years. She may nearly double the last election result and gain about 20%. Her opponent is visibly shaken. The smaller parties have to deal with scandals. And still we don't have labour over 40% in our market. These are the last polls (newsroom is a maybe problematic online poll with a small sample):
Newshub Reid Research[91][79] | 22–30 Aug 2017 | 43.3 | 39.4 | 6.1 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.9 |
One News Colmar Brunton[92][93] | 26–30 Aug 2017 | 41 | 43 | 5 | 8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | N/A[94] | N/A | N/A | 0.9 |
One News Colmar Brunton[95][96] | 2–6 Sep 2017 | 39 | 43 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0.1 | N/A[97] | N/A | N/A | 1.9 |
Newsroom-SSI[98] | 4–6 Sep 2017 | 30 | 45 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2 |
Poll | Date[nb 1] | National | Labour | Green | NZ First | Māori | ACT | United Future</a> | Con | Mana | TOP |
---|
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_New_Zealand_general_electi on,_2017
results:
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/election-2017/news/headlines.cfm?c_id=1504338#/embed/g ridmap/map/
https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/97171105/live-nz-election-night
Live: NZ election night - Labour does not concede
Turned out fine eventually, reason has defeated beauty (sort of) after all :)
I guess we payed off too early. It took some time to count the "special votes", which "include votes from those who enrolled after the deadline of 23 August and those who voted outside their electorate".
So Labour gained one seat and the Greens gained one, the Nationals lost two:
% | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
National | 1,152,075 | 44.45 | −2.59 | 41 | 15 | 56 | −4 | |
Labour | 956,184 | 36.89 | +11.76 | 29 | 17 | 46 | +14 | |
NZ First | 186,706 | 7.20 | −1.46 | 0 | 9 | 9 | −2 | |
Green | 162,443 | 6.27 | −4.43 | 0 | 8 | 8 | −6 | |
ACT | 13,075 | 0.50 | −0.19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Zealand_general_election,_2017#Results
Thx for the information. I will correct it.
Thanks. There is another surprising correction.
It's hard to imagine such a statement from a right-wing populist leader in Europe or America:
After an agonising day of waiting Peters announced he would support Labour because the global environment was undergoing rapid and seismic change, and he believed a Labour government was best-placed to handle the social and economic welfare of New Zealanders.
“For too many New Zealanders capitalism has not been their friend but their foe, ” Peters said, claiming vulnerable New Zealanders had been left behind while the political elite got richer.
“We believe capitalism must regain its human face, and that conviction deeply influenced our decision.”
“We had a choice for a modified status quo or for change ... that’s why in the end we chose a coalition government with NZ First and the Labour party.”
Thx for the information. I will correct it.
done!
******
MAE_old: 1,43
MAE_new: 1,12
Thanks. There is another surprising correction.
It's hard to imagine such a statement from a right-wing populist leader in Europe or America:
After an agonising day of waiting Peters announced he would support Labour because the global environment was undergoing rapid and seismic change, and he believed a Labour government was best-placed to handle the social and economic welfare of New Zealanders.
“For too many New Zealanders capitalism has not been their friend but their foe, ” Peters said, claiming vulnerable New Zealanders had been left behind while the political elite got richer.
“We believe capitalism must regain its human face, and that conviction deeply influenced our decision.”
“We had a choice for a modified status quo or for change ... that’s why in the end we chose a coalition government with NZ First and the Labour party.”
http://www.taz.de/Regierungsbildung-in-Neuseeland/!5456176/ [taz.de]
Not hard to imagine at all, considering that National Socialists had been primarily Socialists.
If one disregards surface colours (red vs. brown) and symbols (red star vs. swastika), the results haven't been much different, what ever the noble intentions of some supporters might have been initially.
Not hard to imagine at all, considering that National Socialists had been primarily Socialists.
If one disregards surface colours (red vs. brown) and symbols (red star vs. swastika), the results haven't been much different, what ever the noble intentions of some supporters might have been initially.
Bullshit!
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